Note: I had
written most of this in early 2010, but never posted it. Have updated for key
events of 2011 now.
There was an article by Robert Samuelson in the Washington Post quoting a survey and analyzing how different generations
have fared in America. We do not have a similar survey for India. But I, like
Hercule Poirot, believe that fieldwork is dispensable. To ferret out the truth,
you only need to sit down and think. So, I sat down and put together
these tables:
Generational experiences:
Age
|
Born
|
Have always
known
|
Experienced
the phenomenon of
|
Saw the rise
of
|
Saw/will see
the demise of
|
Never
seen/Mildly seen
|
< 24
|
1985 or later
|
Liberal economy
Satellite TV
Computers
Sachin Tendulkar
Nuclear families
|
Beauty queens
Reality TV
9/11
|
Internet, email
and Google
Mobile phones
Shopping malls
Consumer choice
China
IPL
Expensive higher education
|
Landlines
Cheap oil
Social support
Union labor
|
License raj
|
25 - 45
|
1965 - 1985
|
Amitabh Bachchan
|
Liberalization
Mandal
Babri Masjid
Forex crisis
Fall of Berlin Wall
|
Computers
Satellite TV
Sachin Tendulkar
Khans
Coalition politics
Nuclear family
Infosys
GSLV; Chandrayan
|
Doordarshan
Cold war
Telegraph
USSR/Communism
Ambassador/Bajaj scooter
License raj
|
Wars
Food Shortage
|
46 - 65
|
1945 - 1965
|
Political
freedom
Cold war
|
Food shortage
Wars
Brain drain
Green revolution
Emergency
Nationalization
Hippy movement
Coercive population control
|
Indira Gandhi
Amitabh Bachchan
Cricket
Urban Growth
Air travel
Reliance Industries
Ambassador/Bajaj scooter
Space program
|
Hockey
Sea travel
|
Colonial rule
|
> 65
|
Before 1945
|
|
Independence
World war
Famines
|
America
USSR/Communism
Constitutional rule
Tatas
|
Colonialism
|
|
Period of initial impact / Period of domination for each
generation*
Current Age
|
Sports
|
Business and
Economy
|
Arts &
Entertainment
|
Science &
Technology
|
Politics and
Administration
|
Peak impact at -->
|
15-35 years
|
35-60 years
|
25-45 years
|
25-45 years
|
50-80 years
|
< 24
|
2000-2005 / 2010-2030
|
2020-2025
/2030-2050
|
2010-2015 /
2020-2040
|
2010-2015 /
2020-2040
|
2035-2040 /
2050-2070
|
25 - 45
|
1980-1985 /
1990-2010
|
2000-2005 / 2010-2030
|
1990-1995 / 2000-2020
|
1990-1995 / 2000-2020
|
2015-2020 /
2030-2050
|
46 - 65
|
1960-1965 /
1970-1990
|
1980-1985
/1990-2010
|
1970-1975 /
1980-2000
|
1970-1975 /
1980-2000
|
1995-2000 / 2010-2030
|
> 65
|
Till 1965
|
Till 1985
|
Till 1980
|
Till 1980
|
Till 2010
|
* E.g., Individuals between
ages 15 and 35 have the greatest impact in sports. The generation that is
currently 25-45 years old first impacted sports between 1980-1985, but their
peak impact was between 1990-2010.
The pre-independence generation: Born before 1945:
A generation that saw major wars, famines and colonialism.
Phenomena that can be truly considered history now. It was a generation that
handled great adversity with fortitude and largely pulled itself out of most of
it. There was a sense of purpose in the way it threw off the shackles of
colonialism and gave us constitutional rule. It firmed up the idea of India,
preserved political freedom and set up the framework for much of the successes
and failures of the later years. They are often accused of setting us on the
wrong path in the name of socialism and non-alignment. But given the
circumstances of that age, it was a very viable and attractive path.
This generation is largely retired and inactive today,
except in the political sphere. Those who are impatient for them to hand over
the reins to the next generation haven’t done much analysis of what’s really in
store once that happens.
The post-independence generation: Born 1945-1965:
A generation that turned Bajaj scooter into a status symbol
obviously had something gone terribly wrong. Bequeathed a legacy of freedom and
fight for survival, this is a generation that seems to have given up and rested
on the laurels of a past generation. It was a generation of half measures –
seemingly content with just avoiding or postponing pitfalls. Faced with severe
food shortages, they ushered in the Green Revolution, but didn’t take it to the
next logical level of commercializing agriculture. They rallied to end
Emergency quickly, but failed to push for political institutions for better
governance. Despite constant professions of self-sufficiency, national pride
and patriotism, this was a generation that seems to have lacked self-respect,
drive and a will to succeed. Helplessly watched while other nations made rapid
progress – at their peak, India had poorer socioeconomic indicators than even
its neighbors in South Asia.
It is a generation that let hockey fade, and achieved almost
nothing of consequence in sports. It is a generation that eventually grudgingly
accepted Tendulkar as a great player, but still believes Gavaskar, Vishwanath
and the spin quartet were the greatest thing to have happened to Indian
cricket. Apart from the ’83 world cup and minor successes in tennis, they had
little to show by way of achievement. The fact that Mikka Singh and PT Usha
were hailed as a great achievers is indicative of the low standards the entire
generation had set for itself.
Faced with dwindling opportunities largely of their own
making, many chose to emigrate rather than correct things. Having inherited a
socialist legacy, they chose to focus on nationalization and abolition of privy
purses rather than land reform and providing equality of opportunity. It was a
generation that made corruption respectable, the Ambassador car a national
institution, and Indira Gandhi a visionary leader. Shackled by controls,
Reliance was their greatest achievement in the world of business – mainly
driven by Ambani’s ability to ‘fix’ government policy. Almost no progress was
made in science and technology. Their professed mistrust of anything foreign
ensured that nothing worthwhile was imported from elsewhere either. The space
program saw rockets spend more time in the sea than in space. Art and
entertainment was more escapist than aspirational. They were happy to see
Rajesh Khanna get all romantic, but loved tragic endings because it fitted with
their world view. Amitabh Bachchan drew applauses and a fan following with his
angry young man act, but that rarely translated to any kind of action on the
street.
They are only now beginning to have an impact in the
political sphere, and the results haven’t been terribly inspiring. It is scary
to think of what would happen once the Manmohan Singhs and Advanis retire. It
is early days yet, but Anna Hazare’s biggest contribution to the nation’s
long-term good might be that he has cleared a path for Arvind Kejriwal and his
ilk to play an active role in politics, bypassing the traditional hierarchy.
The transformation generation: Born 1965-1985:
A generation that has been spared the worst of war and
famine can count itself lucky. Still, it has seen major upheavals, both on the
domestic as well as the global front. It can take pride in the way it embraced
liberalization and converted globalization into an opportunity rather than
perceive it as a threat.
Apart from cricket and chess, the sporting achievement shelf
remains mostly barren for this generation too. It did, however, refuse to give
Leander Paes the kind of adulation Vijay Amritraj received a couple of decades earlier.
The way it approached cricket was instructive. Ganguly will always be a bigger
hero than his batting stats indicate because he was NOT a nice guy. He wanted
to WIN, and not just perform his duty to the best of his ability. Poets waxed
eloquent over Laxman’s artistry or Manjrekar’s technique But Tendulkar, Ganguly,
Dravid and Kumble were the icons – their focus on doing whatever it takes to win
struck a chord with this generation. It is heartening to see Dhoni and Gambhir
carry the flag today. However, we might be witnessing the beginning of the end.
It is hard to see the Rainas and Kohlis display the same level of commitment in
the years ahead.
Those who are impressed with the economic growth over the
last couple of decades haven’t seen anything yet. The real boom is only beginning.
The kids who entered the workforce in the 1990s have tasted success. As middle-aged
men and women now, they are hungry for more. They are in an environment that
allows risk-taking and encourages bloody-minded pursuit of success. The whole
nation would brim with energy and entrepreneurial spirit. Compared to it, the
wild west would seem like an idyllic tropical island, the Over the next two
decades, India will look at China in the eye, happily walk all over a faltering
Europe, and give condescending lectures to America – thanks to this generation.
Winning at all costs might have been great, had it been
tempered by the presence of influential thinkers and articulators. People who
could have kept the larger picture in mind and had the ability and reach to egg
the generation on to better and more equitable social policies. Unless we quickly
unearth someone other than Chetan Bhagat, progress for the nation will come at
great human cost.
The phenomenon, whatever it is called in future history books, would rival
slavery and colonialism in terms of misery inflicted by man upon man.
The post liberalization generation: Born after 1985:
A former boss whom I respect a lot once wistfully remarked
that when he joined the workforce, he was glad that someone was willing to
actually pay him for whatever little he could do. He contrasted that with kids
entering the workforce nowadays with a million expectations. Welcome to what I
like to call the Entitlement Generation.
A lot has been made of India’s expected demographic dividend over the next few decades. For the uninitiated, it refers to the phase in a
nation’s demographic change where the proportion of working age population is
very high. Apparently all these people would be super-productive and the nation
would be transformed into a land of milk and honey. Even more has been said
about how we might fail to reap the fruits of this demographic dividend. After
all, productivity is not just a function of age. Health and education also
counts. By failing to invest sufficiently in health and education of our
populace, the theory goes, we will lose this golden opportunity of going one up
on the decadent West forever.
But what really worries me is the other side of the equation
– the post-productive youth, or the spoilt brats. If the demographic dividend
is to be reaped, our healthy and educated young men and women need to be hungry
for success. They need to be willing to put their heads down and work hard to
achieve something. They need to be willing to sacrifice some of today’s
pleasures for greater gains tomorrow. Now, every generation has some people who
feel entitled to receive benefits without having to earn it. These are
the spoilt brats who refuse to grow up. But it is usually a small proportion
and are quite irrelevant in the larger scheme of things even if they get away
with it. That might be changing.
A typical software engineer expects to be paid 4-5 lakhs
yearly – because that’s what he or she thinks they should be getting. And
then the cribs start. How could you refuse me a transfer to Pune? Can anyone
explain why the gym is not open during working hours. How am I expected
to spend the mandated 9.15 hours in office and still maintain a work-life
balance? 24-year old men and women complaining about lack of work-life balance
would be hilarious if it were not so symptomatic of a larger malaise. Apparently
people entering other industries are like that too. It might be a generational thing.
A whole generation that wants to piggy back off others’ success is scary.
So, we’ve got a social mess that my generation is busy
creating, followed by whatever mess the next generation creates. Sia, you and your
friends have a lot of clean-up to do. Hope you are up to it.